Demand OS
Forward absorption
What the current book absorbs over the next four quarters if nothing changes, and what breaks the projection.
Current absorption
73 units / month
Twelve-week shape, pilot window
Projected 4-quarter
912 units
Twelve-week shape, pilot window
Stock at end of period
482 units
Twelve-week shape, pilot window
Confidence
Medium
One city carries the forecast
Absorption projection
Units per month, four quarters forward
The dip at months eight and nine is the monsoon quarter, held from two years of the same pattern in this book.
Ranked by opening stock
Top rows from the table below, largest first
Read off the same table, sorted so the concentration is visible. Ties are ordered as they appear in the register.
Quarterly projection
| Quarter | Opening stock | New launches | Absorbed | Closing stock | Cover |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 | 1394 | 0 | 223 | 1171 | 17.5 mo |
| Q2 | 1171 | 320 | 235 | 1256 | 17.8 mo |
| Q3 | 1256 | 0 | 228 | 1028 | 15.0 mo |
| Q4 | 1028 | 180 | 226 | 982 | 14.5 mo |
What would break this
A Gurugram supply surge
Two-thirds of absorption is one city. A large competing launch on Dwarka Expressway changes every line above.
A rate move of more than fifty basis points
Thirty-eight per cent of buyers here are financed. Loan cost is the demand variable this projection is least able to absorb.
A delayed launch
The Q2 and Q4 launch volumes are developer commitments, not delivered stock. Both have slipped before.
How to read this page
Demand OS · Forward absorption
Window
Rolling 90 days of the India Realty pilot, refreshed nightly at 02:00 IST.
Sources
Aiera call logs, WhatsApp Business API, CRM stages, Meta and portal spend exports.
Joins
Every number is joined to a booking where one exists, not to leads, so cost lines stay comparable.
Limits
Ninety days is short for a ₹1.5 Cr purchase. Late-window cohorts are still open, so treat conversion as a floor.